Analysis of the accuracy of withdrawal time estimates versus actual finalization times.
Total Withdrawals: 279
Total Estimates: 19924
Mean Error: -28.15 hours
Median Error: -23.74 hours
Mean Absolute Error: 28.40 hours
Positive error means actual time was later than estimated
Correct Day: 57.8%
Within ±1 day: 81.2%
Within ±2 days: 95.7%
Within ±3 days: 100.0%
Within ±7 days: 100.0%
Early Estimates: 0.0% (actual later than estimated)
Late Estimates: 53.1% (actual earlier than estimated)
Excludes estimates within ±1 hour of actual time (considered correct)
Mean Withdrawals per Day: 93.0
Median Withdrawals per Day: 79.0
Maximum Withdrawals per Day: 156
Days with Processing: 3
Withdrawals are processed in bulk once per day
Mean Absolute Error (hours) by time remaining:
0-6 hours: 6.39 hours
6-12 hours: 8.60 hours
12-24 hours: 27.36 hours
24-48 hours: 57.93 hours
48-72 hours: 58.02 hours
72+ hours: nan hours
| Lead Time | Count | Mean Error (h) | Median Error (h) | Mean Abs Error (h) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-24h | 9171 | 0.26 | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| 24-48h | 1808 | -21.38 | -23.74 | 21.43 |
| 48-72h | 2600 | -42.69 | -47.74 | 42.69 |
| 72h+ | 6345 | -65.19 | -71.74 | 65.19 |